DAS offer six complementary capabilities to help our client solve their most critical strategic and operational challenges:

• Strategy/Policy
• Business Transformation/Change
• Project, Programme, Portfolio Management
• Business Intelligence & Data Analytics
• Asset Optimisation
• Cyber Security

DAS conduct regular analysis & forecasts of national Defence Spending procurement programmes using a bottom-up "micro" approach. But to cross-check this domain-level methodology and ensure the analysis is coherent, DAS commissioned MEF to provide national Defence Spending projections using a “top-down” macro/global scenario approach - this also enables sensitivity analysis to be conducted ie exploring & quantifying shocks from official macroeconomic projections that impact Global/UK Defence Spending.

This global model of Defence Spending in all major Defence nations (eg US, China, Russia, France, Germany, Turkey etc..) was assembled by MEF economists who have built/maintained the MEF suite of (structural) economic models. This latter knowledge allows them to propose the best structure for client-owned satelitte models - that focus on the client's core domain area (eg for DAS, National Defence procurement) - and the particular mGEM driver variables that will power such recursive client satellite models. MEF sourced required data and then estimated a (structural) model of National Defence Spending DEFMOD typically driven by national factors (fiscal capacity, demographic/social spending) and geopolitical factors (Defence Spending by non-friendly nations). DEFMOD covers all the major Defence Spending nations in order to ensure that geo-political drivers are fully-specified; in essence, it captures the dynamics of any global arms race to ensure fully-consistent Defence Spending scenarios. Once operational, forecast scenario analysis can then be run on DEFMOD in a fully-coherent way given (global) macro drivers from mGEM scenario exercises.

Once deployed, DAS commission MEF to “stress-test” official (ie OBR, OECD, IMF) Budget projections with plausible global macro scenarios to capture & quantify domain-level uncertainty around central projections; these are then fed-through to DEFMOD to quantify related uncertainties in possible Defence Spending outturns to 2040. DAS typically conduct such mGEM-DEFMOD scenario update exercises with MEF after each major fiscal event in the UK; they can then pre-empt any potential deviations from the official baseline forecast and its ramifications for Global/UK Defence Spending to 2040.